TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Avispa Fukuoka vs. Shimizu S-Pulse - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

Avispa Fukuoka vs. Shimizu S-Pulse - More Markets

Volume:
$20,055

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,702
N/A
N/A
$2,280
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shimizu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,951
N/A
N/A
$4,530
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Avispa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,023
N/A
N/A
$1,783
Settled
No
polymarket

Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group covers a J1 League soccer match between Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse scheduled for March 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets span multiple spread thresholds, over/under total goals, both-teams-to-score, and match outcome (win/tie/loss) across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket spread markets use binary forced-choice logic that implicitly handles ties by defaulting to the non-spread-meeting team, while Kalshi explicitly recognizes tie as a distinct valid resolution outcome. This creates different effective payoff structures for tie scenarios.Hero tip: When pricing Polymarket spreads, factor in tie probability—a tie will resolve against the spread team. On Kalshi, tie is a standalone Yes outcome. Cross-platform arbitrage risk exists if tie probability is mispriced on either platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: All markets (spreads, over/unders, both-teams-to-score) resolve to official jleague.jp final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Spread markets are binary: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5) resolves Yes only if Shimizu wins by 3+; otherwise resolves to Avispa Fukuoka. Ties are not an explicit outcome; they resolve to the team that did not meet the spread threshold. If game is canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Three distinct markets, each resolving Yes if their condition is met: Tie wins (Yes if match ends tied), Shimizu wins (Yes if Shimizu wins), Avispa wins (Yes if Avispa wins). Resolution is based on official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Tie is treated as a valid, independent outcome, not a default fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.