TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:29 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Avispa Fukuoka" if Avispa Fukuoka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sanfrecce Hiroshima" if Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Avispa Fukuoka" if Avispa Fukuoka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sanfrecce Hiroshima" if Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. If a large number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular team’s chance of scoring first, they may drive the odds on Polymarket in the opposite direction. It's a way to see where informed bettors place their conviction.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Avispa Fukuoka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima will score first. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the traders on the platform. This dynamic pricing adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Avispa Fukuoka versus Sanfrecce Hiroshima match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Avispa Fukuoka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could impact the market. Major tactical announcements from either manager prior to kickoff could also trigger trading activity.