TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the goal differential between Avai and America FC, with outcomes for whether either team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Only goals scored during the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time count.
This event covers the final goal differential in the Avai vs America FC match scheduled for July 21, 2026. Resolution depends on whether Avai or America FC achieves a winning margin exceeding the specified thresholds: more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. Only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time count; goals from extra time or penalties do not apply. Each outcome resolves independently based on the final score differential.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than major sportsbooks, depending on trading volume and the confidence of market participants. Comparing the two can reveal where professional and casual bettors disagree, though prediction markets typically converge toward consensus as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen price levels. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread between the highest bid and lowest ask reflects the current disagreement on the outcome. As new information emerges or trading volume increases, prices adjust in real time. Traders can execute at market prices or place limit orders to wait for their target entry point, and the continuous auction process ensures prices stay responsive to new evidence and shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the Avai vs America FC match concludes and the final spread is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official goal differential between the two teams at full time. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, and prices may shift based on team news, injury reports, or betting patterns. Early resolution is possible if circumstances prevent the match from being played as scheduled.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts by either team can trigger sharp price moves in this market. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history often influence trader positioning. Major betting syndicates entering or exiting positions can also create volume spikes and volatility. Team news released closer to kickoff—such as last-minute roster decisions or venue changes—typically has the strongest impact. Monitoring official team communications, sports media, and on-field performance trends will help you anticipate market swings and identify trading opportunities.