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Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC?

Volume:
$31,697

Gremio Novorizontino

 - Kalshi

Gremio Novorizontino - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 5:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gremio Novorizontino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,584
N/A
N/A
$18,092
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vila Nova FC

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,139
N/A
N/A
$6,666
Settled
No
kalshi

Avai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,361
N/A
N/A
$4,446
Settled
No
polymarket

Avaí FC

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Avaí FC and Vila Nova FC. The markets consider regular play (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and exclude extra time or penalty shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market references a different match (Gremio Novorizontino vs Avai) while Polymarket correctly references the Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC match.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is based on an entirely different game and will not resolve according to the intended event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Avaí FC, Vila Nova FC, or Neither based on which team scores first in the Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC match within 90 minutes + stoppage time. "If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Avai or Gremio Novorizontino wins or ties the Gremio Novorizontino vs Avai match after 90 minutes + stoppage time. "If Avai wins the Gremio Novorizontino vs Avai professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Avaí FC and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Avaí FC" if Avaí FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vila Nova FC" if Vila Nova FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Avai professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026: a win for Gremio Novorizontino, a win for Avai, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering real capital on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment deviates from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and react to news faster than sportsbooks, resulting in odds that may be more accurate or simply represent a different weighting of factors.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and wider spreads. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting prices. Differences in market maker activity and the timing of information incorporation can also contribute to these discrepancies, creating opportunities for arbitrage between the two venues.