TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC?

Volume:
$23,870

Draw (Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 12:50 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC)

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vila Nova FC

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vila Nova

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Avaí FC

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Avai

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Avaí FC and Vila Nova FC on September 14, 2026. Markets exist for Avaí FC winning, Vila Nova FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same core event (result after 90 minutes + stoppage time) and handle postponements/cancellations similarly.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol). Secondary sources are Flashscore, Sofascore, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for Avaí FC resolves the 'Avaí FC win' market to 'Yes', a win for Vila Nova FC resolves the 'Vila Nova FC win' market to 'Yes', and a draw resolves the 'Draw' market to 'Yes'.
  • If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the 'Avaí FC win' and 'Vila Nova FC win' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or sooner if official data is readily available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 between Avaí FC and Vila Nova FC.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Avai vs Vila Nova Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026: a win for Avai, a win for Vila Nova, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves positively, while the team-specific markets resolve negatively. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will be resolved at a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event explicitly excludes any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a more fluid and potentially more accurate assessment. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply variations in market participants. Examining both sources provides a well-rounded view of the probabilities surrounding the Avaí vs. Vila Nova match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information, influencing trading activity. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can differ, impacting price discovery. Polymarket may have more traders focused on Brazilian football, while Kalshi may have a broader audience. These differing dynamics contribute to the observed price discrepancies for the Avaí vs. Vila Nova match, even though they track the same underlying event.