TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Avaí FC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Avaí FC" if Avaí FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Clube Náutico Capibaribe" if Clube Náutico Capibaribe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Avaí FC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Avaí FC" if Avaí FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Clube Náutico Capibaribe" if Clube Náutico Capibaribe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves, who adjust prices based on new information and shifting beliefs. This market may offer different odds than a sportsbook for the same outcome because traders respond instantly to team news, injury reports, or tactical changes, whereas sportsbooks update less frequently. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on this fixture differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares representing each outcome—Avaí FC scoring first, Clube Náutico Capibaribe scoring first, or neither team scoring first—and the price of each share adjusts based on supply and demand. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the odds reflect the latest information and consensus among active participants on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match between Avaí FC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal of the match. If neither team scores during regulation time, that outcome is also valid. Resolution occurs shortly after the final whistle, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the confirmed match result.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before the match kicks off. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers significant price movement. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage can influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day and late-breaking roster announcements may also sway the odds. Additionally, if one team is perceived as stronger or more likely to dominate possession, traders may adjust prices to reflect expectations of early scoring pressure, making this market highly responsive to pre-match developments.