TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Avaí FC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Avaí FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Avaí FC and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Avaí FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this matchup, comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing the exact score differently than professional oddsmakers. Such gaps may highlight value opportunities or consensus shifts in how the market views the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact-score outcome through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market reflects the aggregate belief of all participants; if you believe a particular scoreline is underpriced relative to its true probability, you can trade accordingly. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Avaí versus Capibaribe match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. All positions settle based on which scoreline actually occurs, with no ambiguity once the result is confirmed through official match reporting.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that alter perceived offensive or defensive strength. Weather conditions on match day, recent form trends, and head-to-head history can all influence trader expectations about the likely scoreline. Additionally, any late-breaking developments—such as venue changes or unexpected roster updates—may prompt sharp traders to adjust positions, causing noticeable price swings in the hours before kickoff.