TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Avaí FC vs. América FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Avaí FC vs. América FC?

Volume:
$148,327

Avaí FC

 - Polymarket

Avaí FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 11:21 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Avaí FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Both Teams To Score

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,278
N/A
N/A
$14,590
Settled
Yes
polymarket

América FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Avaí FC vs. América FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers a Brazilian Serie B football match between Avaí FC and América FC scheduled for July 21, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: Avaí win, draw, and América win, plus a supplementary market on both teams scoring. Resolution depends on the official final result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic diverges between draw market (resolves YES on cancellation) and win markets (resolve NO on cancellation). Kalshi market lacks explicit cancellation guidance.Hero tip: Traders should note that a full cancellation with no rescheduled match will cause Avaí win and América win markets to resolve NO, but the draw market to resolve YES. This creates a logical inconsistency in the market group. Verify cancellation procedures with Polymarket support before expiration.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with split cancellation logic. Avaí win and América win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. All three reference CBF official statistics as primary source, with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single market on both teams scoring in the Avaí vs América match on July 21, 2026. Resolves YES if both teams score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or alternative resolution clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between Avaí FC and América FC.

Kalshi

If Avai and America FC both score a goal in the Avai vs America FC Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Prediction market prices often incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks because traders profit directly from accuracy. However, sportsbook odds may reflect sharper professional betting syndicates and real-money risk management. Comparing this market across both venues can reveal which pricing model the broader market trusts more for this particular matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, fee structures, and market design can drive price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi attract different trader demographics and risk profiles, leading each to weight available information differently. Liquidity concentration also matters: if one venue has deeper order books, prices may move more slowly there, while the other responds faster to breaking news. Settlement rules and dispute resolution timelines can also influence how traders price tail risks. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify arbitrage opportunities or consensus strength on this market.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team form will likely shift prices substantially. Betting flow from sharp syndicates often signals new information before mainstream media coverage. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and head-to-head historical trends can also influence trader positioning. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may trigger retail trader activity. As the match date approaches, late-breaking tactical adjustments or player availability updates typically drive the largest price swings. Monitoring team social channels and sports news outlets will help you anticipate moves in this market.