TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 11:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers a Brazilian Serie B football match between Avaí FC and América FC scheduled for July 21, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: Avaí win, draw, and América win, plus a supplementary market on both teams scoring. Resolution depends on the official final result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between Avaí FC and América FC.
If Avai and America FC both score a goal in the Avai vs America FC Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, fee structures, and market design can drive price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi attract different trader demographics and risk profiles, leading each to weight available information differently. Liquidity concentration also matters: if one venue has deeper order books, prices may move more slowly there, while the other responds faster to breaking news. Settlement rules and dispute resolution timelines can also influence how traders price tail risks. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify arbitrage opportunities or consensus strength on this market.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team form will likely shift prices substantially. Betting flow from sharp syndicates often signals new information before mainstream media coverage. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and head-to-head historical trends can also influence trader positioning. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may trigger retail trader activity. As the match date approaches, late-breaking tactical adjustments or player availability updates typically drive the largest price swings. Monitoring team social channels and sports news outlets will help you anticipate moves in this market.