TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 1:10 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional USL Cup soccer match between Av Alta FC and Phoenix Rising scheduled for July 11, 2026. The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Av Alta FC vs Phoenix Rising USL Cup match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each team outcome resolves to Yes if that team wins during regulation time. A tie outcome resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original July 11, 2026 date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as traders adjust their positions based on team news, injuries, or recent form.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the real-time consensus probability among active traders. As fresh data or analysis surfaces, participants adjust their positions, causing the odds to shift. This dynamic pricing model ensures the market continuously incorporates new information up until the resolution window closes.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and official result of the game. No ambiguity remains once the event is complete and confirmed through standard sports news sources and league records.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates, recent performance trends, and head-to-head historical records. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute lineup changes can shift trader sentiment significantly. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting action from other venues may also influence how participants reassess their positions. As the match date approaches, accumulating evidence about form and readiness typically drives the largest price movements in this market.