TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Austrian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish
kalshi
polymarket

Austrian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

Volume:
$93,539

Max Verstappen

 - Polymarket

Max Verstappen - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Max Verstappen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kimi Antonelli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,430
N/A
N/A
$4,740
Settled
Yes
polymarket

George Russell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sheldon Creed

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,285
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Taylor Gray

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
$407
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lewis Hamilton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,102
N/A
N/A
$3,102
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Alfredo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,749
N/A
N/A
$2,265
Settled
No
polymarket

Lando Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lavar Scott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,709
N/A
N/A
$1,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Retzlaff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,343
N/A
N/A
$1,212
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Green

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,142
N/A
N/A
$1,142
Settled
No
polymarket

Pierre Gasly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Labbe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,089
N/A
N/A
$1,089
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Bilicki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,080
N/A
N/A
$1,080
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Mayer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
$998
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlos Sainz Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fernando Alonso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sergio Perez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Liam Lawson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lance Stroll

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Franco Colapinto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 59

Description

This audit reveals a critical data integrity failure: the source data conflates two entirely separate sporting events under a single group name. Polymarket contains 24 F1 Austrian Grand Prix podium finish markets (scheduled June 28, 2026), while Kalshi contains 37 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series markets for the 2026 United Rentals Driven to Serve 250. These are different sports, different series, different drivers, and different events with no logical connection.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental category mismatch: Polymarket markets reference Formula 1 (FIA-sanctioned motorsport) with explicit FIA resolution source, while Kalshi markets reference NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series (North American stock car racing) with no resolution source specified. These are mutually exclusive sporting events with zero overlapping drivers or venues. The group name is misleading and the data structure violates basic event taxonomy.Hero tip: Do not trade on this group in its current form. Request immediate data correction from both platforms. Confirm whether this is a data ingestion error or intentional cross-sport grouping (highly unlikely). Once split into two separate groups, Polymarket F1 markets will resolve via FIA Final Classification; Kalshi NASCAR markets will require explicit NASCAR official results source confirmation before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: 24 F1 Austrian Grand Prix markets. Resolution: Top-3 finish in FIA Final Classification (published 30-60 min post-race on June 28, 2026). Source: Official FIA results via formula1.com. Disqualifications post-publication do not affect resolution. Postponement keeps market open; permanent cancellation resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: 37 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series markets for 2026 United Rentals Driven to Serve 250. Resolution: Top-3 finish in Main Event. No explicit resolution source, timing window, or cancellation protocol provided. No FIA reference. Fundamentally different sport and series from Polymarket group.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Austrian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Austrian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Austrian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the corresponding driver finishes in the top 3 positions in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR United Rentals Driven to Serve 250. Resolution is based on final official NASCAR race results posted after the event concludes, not on provisional results.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, adjusting lines to balance liability. Prediction markets like those tracked here rely on continuous trader participation, where prices emerge from supply and demand rather than a bookmaker's calculation. This often produces sharper, more efficient odds because traders risk real capital on their conviction. However, sportsbook odds may reflect deeper liquidity and professional sharp action, while prediction markets can be more responsive to retail sentiment and niche information. Comparing both sources helps bettors identify value across venues.

Polymarket and Kalshi may quote different implied probabilities for the same driver podium outcome due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and fee structures that influence how participants price risk. Liquidity depth varies between venues, so a large trade on one platform may move the price more sharply than on another. Settlement rules, withdrawal policies, and platform reputation also shape trader behavior and confidence. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when spreads widen, though transaction costs and withdrawal friction typically prevent perfect convergence. Monitoring both venues reveals which market is pricing the outcome more efficiently.