TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 11:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the winner of the Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol, a professional golf tournament held in Austria. On Kalshi, Ewen Ferguson holds a 96.4% probability of winning the event, according to the resolution source tied to tournament outcomes. The market will settle based on the official winner announced at the conclusion of the Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol, with resolution expected by May 31, 2026.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from thousands of participants. For the Austrian Alpine Open, prediction market prices may move faster in response to athlete injuries, training updates, or course conditions. Comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs. Prediction markets typically offer tighter spreads on heavily traded outcomes, making them useful for assessing true consensus probability versus bookmaker-set odds.
The Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official race result announced by the event organizers and governing alpine skiing authorities. The winner outcome is based on the athlete who achieves the fastest combined time across all race runs or the final standings as declared by the competition. Markets remain open for trading until the official result is confirmed and published. Traders should monitor official Kitzbühel Tirol and international ski federation announcements for any schedule changes, course modifications, or cancellations that could affect the final outcome determination.
Several key catalysts could shift Austrian Alpine Open odds on Kalshi before May 31, 2026. Athlete injuries or withdrawals, particularly among top contenders, typically trigger sharp price movements. Weather forecasts affecting course conditions—snow depth, temperature, visibility—influence trader positioning. Recent race results and training runs provide real-time form updates that reshape probabilities. Equipment changes or technical adjustments by leading skiers can signal confidence shifts. Media reports on athlete preparation, coaching changes, or mental readiness also drive trading activity. Course preparation announcements and any schedule adjustments by organizers may prompt repricing. Monitor official team statements and ski federation communications for developments that could materially alter the competitive landscape heading into the event.