TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Austria vs. Korea Republic
Volume:
$335,357
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Austria and Korea Republic.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Tie, Korea Republic win, Austria win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to determine a single settlement value. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets with standard binary resolution logic that correctly map to the three possible outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely — it contains a fatal logical error where every possible match outcome triggers a YES resolution, making it impossible to trade meaningfully or settle fairly. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate markets (Draw, Korea Republic Win, Austria Win), which use standard binary logic and are individually resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's single market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Tie, Korea Republic win, Austria win). This creates a logical contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will always resolve YES regardless of the match result. The market states 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Korea Republic wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Austria wins...then the market resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets — one for Draw (resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise), one for Korea Republic Win (resolves YES only if Korea Republic wins, NO otherwise), and one for Austria Win (resolves YES only if Austria wins, NO otherwise). Each market correctly maps to exactly one outcome, with 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' for the Draw market and 'No' for the win markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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