TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 2:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Austria will defeat Jordan by more than 2.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026. On Kalshi, the probability that Austria wins by over 1.5 goals stands at 12.0%, with the outcome that Austria wins by over 2.5 goals at 4.0%. Resolution is determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch the match result on June 17, 2026, when the final whistle determines the goal differential and settles the market.
Resolution is determined by the goal differential between Austria and Jordan during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals). The final score differential is calculated as the winning team's goals minus the losing team's goals.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust spreads to balance liability and lock in margin; prediction markets update continuously as traders buy and sell contracts. For Austria vs Jordan: Spread, the Kalshi price may lead or lag sportsbook consensus depending on which venue attracts sharper bettors first. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish on Austria's margin than professional oddsmakers, offering traders an edge if they spot systematic mispricings.
On Kalshi, Austria vs Jordan: Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of a specific spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1% implied probability. The market price aggregates all buy and sell orders on Kalshi's order book, updating in real time as new trades execute. Volume and bid-ask spreads indicate liquidity; tighter spreads suggest higher confidence in the price. Kalshi's pricing mechanism rewards early information and punishes late-arriving traders, creating incentives for participants to research Austria and Jordan's recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical setups before the match.
The Austria vs Jordan: Spread market resolves on Jun 17, 2026, following the conclusion of the match. Resolution is determined by the final goal differential or point spread between Austria and Jordan as recorded by official match data. The specific spread threshold—whether Austria must win by exactly one goal, two or more, or any margin—defines which contract outcome occurs. Once the match ends and the official result is confirmed, Kalshi settles all contracts based on whether the actual spread meets, exceeds, or falls short of the predetermined threshold. Traders should verify the exact spread definition in the market rules before placing positions.
Key catalysts for Austria vs Jordan: Spread include team news such as injuries to star players, tactical shifts, or surprise lineup announcements. Recent form, head-to-head history, and qualification status in the tournament can shift market expectations about goal margin. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and late-breaking betting syndicates moving large sums can trigger sharp repricing. International break results, media narratives about team confidence, and betting exchange volume spikes often precede significant odds moves. Traders monitoring these signals gain early edges; sudden shifts in Kalshi volume or bid-ask spreads often signal informed traders acting on new information before the broader crowd reacts.