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Austria vs. Jordan - First Team to Score
kalshi
polymarket

Austria vs. Jordan - First Team to Score

Volume:
$369,864

Austria

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 12:41 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Austria

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62,830
N/A
N/A
$55,912
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austria

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$61,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,057
N/A
N/A
$92,963
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,805
N/A
N/A
$87,895
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

In the upcoming match between Austria and Jordan, scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Austria" if Austria are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Jordan" if Jordan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket limits resolution scope to 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time. Kalshi includes the entire game including extra time periods. This creates two different resolution windows for the same match.Hero tip: If you hold positions on both platforms, be aware that a 0-0 result at 90 minutes followed by a goal in extra time will resolve as 'Neither' on Polymarket but as a first-goal outcome on Kalshi. Consider hedging or clarifying your match outcome expectations before the match begins.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Scope limited to 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded from resolution. Key Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
  • Kalshi: Scope includes entire game: regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Penalty shootouts implicitly excluded (no goal scored in shootout). Key Quote: 'If Austria records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)...'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Austria and Jordan, scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Austria" if Austria are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Jordan" if Jordan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

This event identifies which team records the first goal during the Austria vs Jordan FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026. The evaluation spans the entire match duration including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods that may be played. If an own goal occurs as the first goal of the match, the market resolves based on the team officially awarded the goal. The No Goal outcome resolves to Yes if the match concludes without any team scoring.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds less frequently and incorporate different risk models. For Austria vs. Jordan - First Team to Score, prediction markets may price in late-breaking team news, injury updates, or betting patterns faster than sportsbooks. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers or decentralized traders are more bullish on a particular outcome, offering insight into market efficiency and potential value.

Key catalysts include official team lineups and starting XI announcements, which reveal whether key strikers or defenders are playing. Injury reports or late withdrawals can shift scoring probability significantly. Pre-match press conferences and tactical previews may hint at attacking intent. Weather conditions at kick-off, referee assignments, and recent form or head-to-head history can all influence trader sentiment. Close to match time, betting flows and sharp money movement often signal informed positioning. Monitor Polymarket and Kalshi volume spikes to detect when major traders are adjusting their positions on this outcome.