TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match between two national teams scheduled for June 17, 2026, where the first-half result (winner or tie) is determined after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event establishes the first half outcome of the Austria vs Jordan FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026, determined after 45 minutes of play plus the associated stoppage time. The first half winner is the team with the higher score at the conclusion of this period. If both teams have scored an equal number of goals at the end of the first half, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for Austria vs Jordan: First Half Winner often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and sports betting lines. While analysts may rely on historical head-to-head records, team form, and tactical breakdowns, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from a diverse crowd, sometimes surfacing information faster. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to published expert predictions and statistical models can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus is weak. These differences highlight whether the market is pricing in factors analysts have overlooked or whether analysts hold contrarian views on first-half dominance.
Austria vs Jordan: First Half Winner is priced on Kalshi as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability that Austria or Jordan wins the first half. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Kalshi's pricing mechanism converts trader conviction into contract prices between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. As traders buy or sell contracts based on their views of first-half performance, the price adjusts in real time. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects market liquidity and uncertainty around the outcome, tightening as the match approaches and new information becomes available.
The Austria vs Jordan: First Half Winner market resolves on Jun 17, 2026, following the conclusion of the first half of the match. Resolution is determined by which team scores more goals during the opening 45 minutes of regulation play. The outcome is binary: Austria wins the first half, Jordan wins the first half, or the first half ends in a draw (depending on market rules). Once the first half concludes and the final score is confirmed, the market settles and winning positions are credited accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Austria vs Jordan: First Half Winner before kickoff and during the match. Pre-match signals include confirmed team lineups, injury announcements, weather conditions, and recent form or head-to-head history. Tactical adjustments or surprise starting XI changes often trigger sharp price moves. During the first half itself, early goals, red cards, or missed clear chances can rapidly reprrice the outcome. Market participants also react to live momentum, possession patterns, and shot quality, meaning odds can swing significantly as the half unfolds. Monitoring these real-time developments helps traders adjust positions dynamically.