TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 12:55 AM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match between two national teams scheduled for June 17, 2026, where the combined goal total during the first half determines the outcome across multiple thresholds.
Resolution is determined by the total combined goals scored by both teams during the first half only of the FIFA World Cup match. Each market resolves to Yes if the first-half total exceeds its specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals). Only goals scored during the first half count toward this market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst consensus. While sports analysts may rely on team form, injury reports, and historical head-to-head data, prediction markets incorporate all available information through continuous price discovery. Comparing Kalshi odds to published expert forecasts and statistical models can reveal where the market is pricing in unique factors—such as recent lineup changes or tactical adjustments—that analysts may have underweighted. This comparison helps identify whether the market is overvaluing or undervaluing the first-half total relative to independent expert opinion.
Austria vs Jordan: First Half Total is priced on Kalshi as a binary contract reflecting the probability of the specified first-half outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing implied probability. As new information emerges—team news, weather conditions, or early match momentum—the contract price adjusts to reflect updated market expectations. Kalshi's order book displays competing bids and asks, allowing you to execute at current market rates or place limit orders to trade at your target price.
The Austria vs Jordan: First Half Total market resolves on Jun 17, 2026, following the conclusion of the first half. Resolution is determined by the official first-half statistics recorded by the match authorities. Once the first half ends, the outcome is verified and the contract settles to either 0 or 100 cents based on whether the specified condition was met. Traders holding the winning side receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Settlement typically occurs within hours of the match conclusion.
Several catalysts could shift Austria vs Jordan: First Half Total odds before kickoff and during the first half. Pre-match announcements of team lineups, injuries to key players, or tactical formation changes often trigger sharp price moves. Weather conditions at the venue may influence playing style and scoring likelihood. Early match momentum—aggressive pressing, defensive solidity, or early chances—typically drives significant repricing as traders update their probability estimates in real time. Additionally, referee decisions, set-piece opportunities, and goalkeeper performance can all influence market sentiment and contract value throughout the first 45 minutes.