TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 12:55 AM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match between two national teams scheduled for June 17, 2026, where the first-half margin of victory for either team exceeds a specified threshold.
Resolution is determined by the goal differential between Austria and Jordan during the first half only of the FIFA World Cup match. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. Only goals scored during the first half count toward this market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders actively pricing this first-half spread outcome. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on subjective models and historical data, prediction markets aggregate live information and incentivize accuracy through direct financial stakes. Comparing Kalshi odds to published soccer analyst ratings or pre-tournament projections can reveal where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom on Austria and Jordan's first-half performance.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Austria vs Jordan: First Half Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the first-half margin will fall within or outside a specified range. The price moves continuously based on order flow and new information about team lineups, injury reports, and pre-match momentum. Traders buy or sell shares at the current bid-ask spread, and the contract settles once the first half concludes and the final spread is confirmed.
The Austria vs Jordan: First Half Spread market resolves on Jun 17, 2026, following the completion of the first half. The outcome is determined by the final goal differential or point spread recorded at halftime. Once the first half ends and official scorekeeping is finalized, the contract settles according to whether the actual spread matches the specified outcome condition, and all positions are paid out accordingly.
Key catalysts for Austria vs Jordan: First Half Spread include confirmed team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift perceived offensive and defensive balance. Early-match momentum—such as an early goal or red card—will trigger sharp repricing as traders update their spread expectations in real time. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and last-minute tactical adjustments may also influence how traders price the first-half margin, causing significant intraday swings before kickoff and during the opening minutes.