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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Austria vs. Israel
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Austria vs. Israel?

Volume:
$1,958,186

Austria

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 4:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Austria

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$418,083
N/A
N/A
$213,414
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austria

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$306,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

AUT

View
99%
29%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$37,534
$56,590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
2%
17%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$8,929
$12,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$147,183
N/A
N/A
$85,710
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Austria vs. Israel)

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ISR

View
1%
13%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$8,918
$45,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$541,186
N/A
N/A
$457,302
Settled
No
polymarket

Israel

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$405,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Austria will win their UEFA Nations League soccer match against Israel on September 24, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Austria winning is 99.5%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on September 24, 2026, to see if Austria secures the win as currently anticipated.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics and defined fallback sources, and consistently define the match duration as 90 minutes plus stoppage time.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the official source is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Postponed games will remain open until completed.
  • Canceled games resolve to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets on Polymarket/Predict, and 'Tie' on Kalshi.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Data Available: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the scheduled match end if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Austria and Israel.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Austria vs Israel UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for either Austria or Israel occurs if that respective team wins the match outright within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Austria and Israel.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how each is determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s odds are driven purely by supply and demand – what traders are willing to pay for a given outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, as they reflect a broader range of information and incentives. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes, especially if there’s significant public bias.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk assessments, leading to differing probabilities. For example, Polymarket might attract more informed bettors with specific knowledge of the teams, while Kalshi could have a broader, more general audience. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels and trading fees on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies, even when reflecting the same underlying event. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage and highlight the value of cross-platform analysis.