TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 7:30 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Austria and Guatemala (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 11, 2026, 04:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Austria and Guatemala accumulate four or more combined yellow and red cards during their match. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing the implied probability. As match details, team lineups, and referee assignments become known, the Limitless price adjusts to reflect updated expectations about card accumulation and disciplinary intensity.
This market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official card count from the Austria vs. Guatemala match, including all yellow and red cards issued by the referee throughout regulation and any added time. The outcome is binary: if the combined total reaches four or more cards, the affirmative resolves to 100 cents; if fewer than four cards are issued, it resolves to zero. Official match records and governing body documentation serve as the authoritative source.
Key catalysts include announcement of team lineups and referee assignment, as certain officials are known for stricter or more lenient card discipline. Injury updates affecting defensive players may increase or decrease foul risk. Pre-match news about tactical aggression, historical head-to-head intensity, or disciplinary records of key players will shift trader expectations. Weather conditions and pitch quality can influence physical play. As match day approaches and these details crystallize, the market will reprice to reflect the refined probability of reaching the four-card threshold.