TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 2:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Australia will defeat Turkiye by more than 1.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability of Australia winning by over 1.5 goals stands at 14.0%, while Turkiye winning by over 1.5 goals is at 3.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the match originally scheduled for June 14, 2026. Watch the match outcome on June 14, 2026, when the final goal margin will determine the market resolution.
Resolution is determined by the final goal differential in the Australia vs Turkiye FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each outcome resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated margin: Australia by 1.5 goals, Australia by 2.5 goals, Turkiye by 1.5 goals, or Turkiye by 2.5 goals respectively.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For Australia vs Turkiye: Spread, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers. These differences highlight unique insights into how decentralized participants value the outcome versus traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Australia vs Turkiye: Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of the spread outcome occurring. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a one percent implied probability. Traders buy and sell contracts based on their conviction, and the market price continuously updates as new orders flow in. Kalshi's order book and recent trade history show the consensus price, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at the prevailing rate before the Jun 14, 2026 resolution date.
The Australia vs Turkiye: Spread market resolves on Jun 14, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official spread result from the match. Traders should monitor the official match data and any announcements from relevant sporting authorities as the event date approaches. The exact resolution criteria and settlement process are defined by Kalshi's market specifications, which clarify how the spread outcome will be verified and confirmed.
Key catalysts for Australia vs Turkiye: Spread include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and pre-match analysis from sports analysts. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks can also signal shifting expectations. Media coverage, expert predictions, and social sentiment may influence trader positioning on Kalshi. As the match date nears, any official statements about playing conditions or tactical adjustments could shift the implied probability. Monitor sports news outlets and team announcements for developments that could impact the spread outcome.