TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 2:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score of the Australia versus Turkiye FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 14, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Australia winning 1-0—stands at 38.0%, while a 1-1 draw is at 29.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in regulation play, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch the match result on June 14, 2026, when the 90-minute regulation period concludes to see which specific scoreline materializes.
Each market resolves to Yes if the Australia vs Turkiye professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 14, 2026 ends with the specified correct score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The resolution is determined solely by the final score in regulation play, regardless of which team wins or whether the match ends in a draw. All scoring outcomes are evaluated uniformly using the same time-based criteria, with no distinction made between different score lines in terms of resolution methodology.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, comparing the implied probabilities on this market to major sportsbook lines can reveal where bettors and traders disagree on the likelihood of specific scorelines, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of traders to commit capital, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that scoreline. As new information emerges—team news, betting patterns, or expert analysis—traders adjust their positions, and prices move to reflect updated expectations about the final result.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the Australia vs Turkije match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play, and resolution occurs after official confirmation of the result. Traders holding shares in the correct score receive their payout, while all other outcomes expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that alter perceived offensive and defensive strength. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and media coverage can shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Betting market activity and line movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market adjustments. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also prompt repricing as traders refine their probability estimates heading into kickoff.