TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 6 at 6:30AM ET: If the Australia win, the market will resolve to "Australia". If the Philippines win, the market will resolve to "Philippines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 6 at 6:30AM ET: If the Australia win, the market will resolve to "Australia". If the Philippines win, the market will resolve to "Philippines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect what traders actually believe will happen. This market aggregates the views of many independent traders with real money at stake, which can reveal insights that differ from traditional sportsbook pricing. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where conventional oddsmakers may be underestimating a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where each outcome is represented as a tradable contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market reflects the collective assessment of all participants, with the price of each contract representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders buy and sell contracts, moving prices in real time. This continuous price discovery process ensures the market remains responsive to developments affecting the event.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the matchup as documented by authoritative sports sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell contracts based on their expectations. Once the event concludes and the outcome is established, the market will settle accordingly and trading will cease.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment and move prices in this market. Team roster changes, injury announcements, or coaching decisions affecting either side could trigger significant repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and performance trends leading into the matchup will likely influence confidence levels. External conditions such as venue details, weather, or scheduling changes may also matter. As the event date approaches, any official statements or developments from either team could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids accordingly.