TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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9+ corners
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 3, 2026
Closed: Jul 3, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the total number of corners that will be awarded during the Australia versus Egypt FIFA World Cup match. Across Limitless, Kalshi, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 10.0% probability for the over/under 7.5 corners outcome and 10.0% probability for the over/under 10.5 corners outcome, according to data from FIFA.com. The match is scheduled for July 3, 2026, and resolution will depend on the final corner count recorded during that fixture.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Time scope mismatch between platforms: Kalshi includes extra time periods while Limitless and Polymarket explicitly exclude them. Additionally, Kalshi uses a stacked binary condition structure (7+, 8+, 9+, 10+, 11+) rather than traditional over/under thresholds.Hero tip: Monitor whether the match reaches extra time. If it does, Kalshi positions will diverge from Limitless and Polymarket. Confirm final corner count from FIFA official statistics within 24 hours of match conclusion. Be aware that on Kalshi, if total corners exceed 11, all five markets resolve YES simultaneously.Critical divergence points:
- Limitless: Binary YES/NO on 11+ total corners during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage only). Excludes extra time and penalties. If match canceled after start, resolves on partial data. If canceled before start or postponed past September 3, 2026, resolves NO.
- Kalshi: Five stacked binary conditions (7+, 8+, 9+, 10+, 11+ corners) all counting corners during entire game including extra time and stoppage periods. Each condition independently resolves YES if threshold met.
- Polymarket: Multiple over/under thresholds (6.5 through 12.5 corners) counting only first 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excludes extra time and penalties). If canceled with no makeup, resolves 50-50. Includes half-split markets (1st half, 2nd half), team-specific markets (Australia, Egypt), odd/even outcome, and first-corner-taker market.
Polymarket
Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Australia and Egypt, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET.
Kalshi
This event covers combined corner kick thresholds for both Australia and Egypt in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 3, 2026. The total corner count includes all corners awarded to either team throughout the entire match duration, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods if applicable. Outcomes resolve Yes if the combined corner total reaches at least 7, 8, 9, 10, or 11 corners respectively. Each threshold is evaluated independently based on the final aggregate corner count from both teams. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, affected markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard rules rather than a binary outcome.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of corners taken by Australia and Egypt is 11 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 3, 2026, 18:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct rule sets, user bases, and liquidity conditions. Polymarket may attract traders focused on higher corner thresholds, while Kalshi draws participants betting on lower totals. Differences in trading volume, fee structures, and the precise wording of outcome definitions can also push prices apart. Additionally, traders may have varying access to team news or tactical intelligence, causing one platform to react faster to new information. These gaps typically narrow as resolution approaches and arbitrage opportunities become apparent.
Team news—injuries to key players, tactical shifts, or lineup announcements—can significantly alter corner expectations, since certain formations and playing styles generate more set pieces. Referee assignments may also influence outcomes, as different officials vary in corner-kick decisions. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head history will shape trader positioning. Closer to kickoff, weather conditions and pitch quality could affect play style and set-piece frequency. Live trading during the match itself will react to early corner patterns, potentially shifting prices as the actual count accumulates.
