TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, July 3, 2026 between Australia and Egypt.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, July 3, 2026 between Australia and Egypt.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on traders to discover prices through supply and demand. This market's odds reflect what traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal whether one venue undervalues or overvalues a particular outcome, though prediction market prices tend to converge toward consensus as more capital enters the market.
On Predict, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of those shares reflects the implied probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as new trades execute, so the odds you see depend on the most recent transaction. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread between bid and ask prices, making it cheaper to enter or exit a position. Lower liquidity can widen spreads, so checking current volume before placing a large trade helps you understand potential slippage.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and result of the event itself. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges and sentiment shifts. Resolution is automatic once the event outcome is confirmed, at which point winning shares are paid out in full and losing shares expire worthless.
Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical announcements—typically triggers sharp price moves in this market. Pre-match analysis from credible sports commentators and updated team form can shift trader conviction significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent head-to-head records may also influence positioning as the match date approaches. Late-breaking developments, such as unexpected lineup changes or external circumstances affecting either team, often cause rapid repricing. Traders monitor all available public information to adjust their positions, so any credible update can move odds materially.