TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of Over/Under 0.5 goals being scored in the Australia vs. Brazil FIFA International Friendly match. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Predict and Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5. This prediction group incorporates various markets related to the full game and specific halves, resolving against the official final score published on fifa.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for resolution on September 25, 2026, to see if the total goals scored will exceed 0.5.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 25 at 6:00 AM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 25 at 6:00 AM ET.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Australia vs. Brazil match. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume tends to have more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific questions offered on each platform may not be identical, leading to different perspectives on the same underlying event. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even when both platforms are tracking the same event.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Australian or Brazilian team would likely cause price adjustments. Major tactical changes announced by either coach could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant pre-match commentary from respected sports analysts, could influence trader sentiment. Public perception and betting trends on traditional sportsbooks could also create movement, as information flows between these markets and prediction markets like this one.