TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$133,388,117
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia
- Polymarket
Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 1:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for September 24 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for September 24 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge. It's common to see differences, especially as the event approaches and more trading activity occurs. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the South Africa vs Australia ODI series. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures the market price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the South Africa vs Australia ODI series, as declared by the governing body for international cricket. The market will determine which team won the series, or if the series ended in a draw. The outcome will be determined by the official series results, and the platform will verify this information to finalize the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Unexpected player injuries or changes in team lineups for either South Africa or Australia would likely have a significant impact. Any news regarding pitch conditions or weather forecasts for the match locations could also move the market. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches or tournaments, and even public sentiment expressed through media coverage, could all contribute to shifts in the probabilities reflected by this market. Major upsets in other related cricket events could also indirectly influence trading.