TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for September 27 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for September 27 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying opinions among bettors and traders. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in sentiment than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the South Africa vs Australia ODI series is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official series result as determined by cricket authorities. The market will settle to 100% for the winning outcome, as declared by the official governing body. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to their shareholding, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected player injuries to key members of either the South African or Australian teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Major weather forecasts predicting disruptions to match schedules could also impact prices. Furthermore, any news regarding team form, strategic changes, or pitch conditions could lead to traders adjusting their positions. Public sentiment and expert analysis released before or during the series may also contribute to market movements.