TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 3:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Australia and Türkiye (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 14, 2026, 04:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Australia and Türkiye (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 14, 2026, 04:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing YES (4+ cards) or NO (fewer than 4 cards). The current market price reflects the cumulative probability estimate from all active traders. Prices move continuously as new information arrives—tactical lineups, historical card rates for both teams, and referee tendencies all influence the quote. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 15, 2026, with the final settlement determined by the official match statistics.
The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026, shortly after the final whistle of the Australia versus Türkiye match. Resolution is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regulation and any added time. The outcome is binary: if the combined total reaches 4 or more cards, YES resolves to 100 percent; if the total is 3 or fewer, NO resolves to 100 percent. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the settlement source.
Several catalysts can shift market odds before kickoff. Announcement of the match referee is critical—officials with high card-issuance records increase the probability. Team news, such as suspensions or injuries to key defensive players, may force tactical changes that invite more fouls. Historical head-to-head data and recent disciplinary records for both squads influence trader expectations. Weather conditions and pitch quality can affect play intensity. As the match approaches, any lineup confirmation or tactical adjustments reported by team media will trigger repricing. During the match itself, early cards and aggressive play will drive real-time movement.