TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:11 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC score more goals than Seattle Sounders FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC score more goals than Austin FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC score more goals than Seattle Sounders FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC score more goals than Austin FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader belief and real-money consensus. In this market, traders are directly wagering on the second half result, so odds tend to shift quickly as new information emerges—team news, weather, or live match momentum. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that traditional oddsmakers may have missed or mispriced.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by all active traders. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to new information and trader conviction, creating a dynamic reflection of expected second half results.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders match concludes and the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only, independent of the first half or final match result. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window. Traders should monitor official league communications and match schedules to stay informed of any changes to timing or status.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, especially for key players. Weather conditions on match day may favor one team's style of play. Pre-match momentum, recent form, and head-to-head records influence trader positioning. Once the first half concludes, the actual scoreline and in-game events like red cards or tactical adjustments will drive rapid repricing. Late money flowing into one side can also trigger sharp moves. Traders should track official team announcements, weather forecasts, and live match commentary to identify inflection points before and during the event.