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Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: Austin FC or Seattle Sounders FC?

Volume:
$2,852

Austin FC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Austin FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
$759
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austin FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$615
N/A
N/A
$615
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle Sounders

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single MLS match between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC scheduled for July 22, 2026, asking which team will score first. The market resolves based on which team records the opening goal during the match, with three possible outcomes: Austin FC scores first, Seattle Sounders FC scores first, or neither team scores.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope divergence: Polymarket resolves on first 90 minutes + stoppage time only, while Kalshi includes extra time periods in the resolution window.Hero tip: If you hold positions on both platforms, monitor whether the match reaches extra time. A goal scored in extra time will resolve opposite ways: Neither on Polymarket vs. the scoring team on Kalshi. Consider hedging or closing one position if extra time becomes likely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on first goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs explicitly excluded. If neither team scores in this window, resolves to Neither. Official statistics from governing body or event organizers within 2 hours; credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on first goal during entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. No explicit mention of penalty shoot-outs or resolution source hierarchy.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, resolution is based on the team awarded the goal by the referee. The "No Goal" outcome resolves to Yes if the match ends without any team scoring.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi on which team will score first in the Austin FC versus Seattle Sounders FC match. This market captures real-time consensus on the opening goal, with trading volume of $2,852 across both venues. Traders use team form, injury reports, head-to-head records, and tactical matchups to price their positions. The dashboard displays current odds, 24-hour volume of $2,234, and historical price movements, giving you a transparent view of how the prediction market is valuing each outcome at any moment.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Prediction market prices tend to be more efficient over time because traders have direct financial incentive to identify mispricings. For this matchup, comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential value.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive players, lineup announcements closer to kickoff, and recent form trends in both squads. Head-to-head records and home-field advantage at the venue can shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day—wind, rain, or extreme heat—may influence attacking play and early scoring patterns. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move prices in the final hours before kickoff as new information surfaces. Monitor official team social media, injury reports, and sports news outlets to catch developments that could reshape odds on this market.