TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 11:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the final score outcome of an MLS match between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers 18 binary markets covering specific exact score combinations plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi offers four separate markets on goal-differential thresholds (Austin/Seattle winning by >1.5 or >2.5 goals). Both platforms resolve based on the result at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming MLS game between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is based on the final score of the Austin vs Seattle MLS match scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The event encompasses four distinct outcomes: Austin winning by more than 2.5 goals, Austin winning by more than 1.5 goals, Seattle winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Seattle winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently based on the actual goal differential achieved during regulation play.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation to discover prices. This market reflects the aggregated beliefs of thousands of independent forecasters rather than a single operator's risk model. Prediction market prices often lead sportsbook lines because traders face real financial incentives to identify mispricings early. Over time, both venues tend to converge, but temporary gaps can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal shifting sentiment about the match outcome.
Key player injuries, lineup announcements, and recent team form will significantly influence trader positioning in this market. Weather conditions at the venue, historical head-to-head scoring patterns, and any last-minute tactical changes can shift probabilities for specific scorelines. Betting market movement on external sportsbooks often precedes prediction market repricing, so monitoring traditional odds provides early signals. Team news from official sources, coaching changes, or unexpected roster moves may also trigger sharp trader activity. As match day approaches, real-time updates during warm-ups and team sheets will drive final price adjustments before kickoff.