TOTAL VOLUME:

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24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC?

Volume:
$2,298,034

Austin

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 11:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Austin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$633,448
N/A
N/A
$395,511
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Austin FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$153,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$641,737
N/A
N/A
$460,763
Settled
No
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$238,223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$587,617
N/A
N/A
$299,530
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 87.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official MLS Soccer statistics and MLS governing body records. Watch for the match result on July 22, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and official source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official MLS Soccer statistics (mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores) and MLS governing body official records

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome resolves based on the final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Austin FC win market resolves Yes if Austin wins; No otherwise
  • Seattle Sounders FC win market resolves Yes if Seattle wins; No otherwise
  • Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw; No otherwise
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, Austin and Seattle win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
  • Official MLS statistics are the primary resolution source
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary source
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be reconsidered

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed and a final result is determined
  • Cancellation without make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Austin win and Seattle win markets resolve No; the draw market resolves Yes
  • Extra time and penalties: Resolution is based only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
  • Source delay: If official MLS statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as the resolution source
  • Post-resolution score revision: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be reconsidered or used to alter the resolution outcome
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official MLS statistics are published or consensus reporting is available, typically within 2 hours of match conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Austin vs Seattle MLS match scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regulation play only, excluding extra time or penalties). Austin wins if it scores more goals than Seattle during this period; Seattle wins if it scores more goals than Austin; a Tie resolves if both teams have equal goals. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on the match outcome. Both venues host identical or closely related markets where participants buy and sell shares based on their conviction about the result. The cross-platform view lets you compare pricing consensus and track total trading volume across both venues, giving you a comprehensive snapshot of how the prediction market community is pricing this fixture as it approaches kickoff.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. Prediction markets typically update faster in response to breaking news and tend to reflect longer-term consensus, whereas sportsbooks may adjust lines more frequently to manage liability. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing both can reveal where smart money is positioning ahead of this match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between prediction venues typically stem from variations in user base composition, trading volume, fee structures, and market depth. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract traders with different risk appetites, information sets, or time horizons, causing one platform to price the outcome differently than the other. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when spreads widen, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent perfect convergence. Monitoring both venues helps you identify which platform's pricing may be more or less efficient for this particular match.

Key injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent team form will likely shift odds as the match approaches. Weather conditions at the venue, travel disruptions, or unexpected roster changes can trigger sharp moves. Head-to-head tactical adjustments and any late-breaking news about player availability will influence trader positioning. Additionally, if either team secures a playoff spot or faces elimination before kickoff, market sentiment may shift as motivation levels change. Monitor team news and official league communications for catalysts that could reshape the odds.