TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of an MLS soccer match between Austin FC and San Diego FC. Resolution depends on which team scores more goals in the second half, including stoppage time, or if the result is a draw. Cancellation of the game results in a draw resolution.
In the upcoming MLS game between Austin FC and San Diego FC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC score more goals than San Diego FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Austin FC and San Diego FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Diego FC" if San Diego FC score more goals than Austin FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Austin FC and San Diego FC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC score more goals than San Diego FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Austin FC and San Diego FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Diego FC" if San Diego FC score more goals than Austin FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can differ from sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller number of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like house bias or specific promotional strategies, while prediction markets are more driven by genuine belief about the outcome. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage. It’s important to compare both sources when evaluating the potential result of the Austin FC vs. San Diego FC second half.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more stable and accurate pricing. Additionally, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket may have different fees or margin requirements than Predict. These nuances can lead to differing probabilities for the same event, like the Austin FC vs. San Diego FC second half.