This event group covers a professional MLS soccer match between Austin FC and Minnesota United FC scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets include total goals (over/under at multiple thresholds), both teams to score, and various goal-spread outcomes for each team.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties), reference the same official source (mlssoccer.com for Polymarket; implied official MLS records for Kalshi), and apply consistent postponement and cancellation protocols across all markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS Soccer (mlssoccer.com) - final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams: O/U 1.5 resolves Over if 2+ goals, O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ goals, O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ goals, O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5+ goals
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; No if either team scores zero
Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: Austin FC (-1.5) resolves Austin if Austin wins by 2+, Austin FC (-2.5) resolves Austin if Austin wins by 3+, Minnesota United FC (-1.5) resolves Minnesota if Minnesota wins by 2+, Minnesota United FC (-2.5) resolves Minnesota if Minnesota wins by 3+
All resolution logic applies only to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. Resolution occurs once the rescheduled match is played and official final score is published.
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split between Yes and No outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution follows the official final score published on mlssoccer.com at the time of abandonment.
Timing Scope: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts. Resolution is based solely on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on mlssoccer.com following the completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on February 21, 2026 (or the rescheduled date if postponed).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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