TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Austin FC vs. Minnesota United FC
polymarket
kalshi

Austin FC vs. Minnesota United FC

Volume:
$262,875

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66,053
N/A
N/A
$28,007
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,800
N/A
N/A
$39,201
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,011
N/A
N/A
$32,160
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Austin FC vs. Minnesota United FC)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,609
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Austin FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,430
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Minnesota United FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,972
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Austin FC and Minnesota United FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each team's win and draw outcomes on Polymarket, versus a single tri-state contract on Kalshi.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how cancellation (with no make-up game) resolves. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation and appears to require an actual match outcome.Hero tip: Monitor official MLS communications for any game postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw positions will resolve YES while win positions resolve NO—creating a one-way payout asymmetry. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined; contact support for clarification before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Minnesota United FC win (YES if Minnesota wins, NO otherwise), Austin FC win (YES if Austin wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). On cancellation with no make-up: win markets resolve NO, draw market resolves YES. Postponement keeps markets open until game completion. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single tri-state market: resolves YES if Tie, Austin win, or Minnesota win occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly requires an actual match outcome to resolve YES; cancellation behavior undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.