TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Austin FC vs. D.C. United SC
kalshi
polymarket

Austin FC vs. D.C. United SC

Volume:
$1,451,708

Austin FC

 - Polymarket

Austin FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 2, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Austin FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,376,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

D.C. United SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Austin FC vs. D.C. United SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,853
N/A
N/A
$2,363
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,239
N/A
N/A
$1,239
Settled
No
kalshi

DC United wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
$653
Settled
No
kalshi

DC United wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$433
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the professional MLS soccer match between Austin FC and D.C. United SC scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: Austin FC win, D.C. United SC win, and draw, plus Kalshi markets on goal-differential thresholds (1.5 and 2.5 goals). All markets reference the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation (no makeup), while its win/loss markets and all Kalshi markets resolve NO or remain silent. This creates conflicting payout incentives for the same underlying game outcome.Hero tip: Monitor MLS official communications for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the game is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket draw YES resolution while win/loss markets resolve NO. Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation guidance and may require manual settlement review. Hedge accordingly or seek pre-event clarification from both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Austin FC win (YES if Austin wins in 90+stoppage), D.C. United win (YES if DC wins in 90+stoppage), and Draw (YES if draw in 90+stoppage). Cancellation logic differs: win/loss markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup; draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps all markets open. Source: MLS official schedule/scores.
  • Kalshi: Four goal-differential markets: DC wins by >2.5 goals (YES), DC wins by >1.5 goals (YES), Austin wins by >2.5 goals (YES), Austin wins by >1.5 goals (YES). All reference 90+stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided in resolution logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.