TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Austin FC vs. D.C. United SC
Volume:
$1,451,708
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional MLS soccer match between Austin FC and D.C. United SC scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: Austin FC win, D.C. United SC win, and draw, plus Kalshi markets on goal-differential thresholds (1.5 and 2.5 goals). All markets reference the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation (no makeup), while its win/loss markets and all Kalshi markets resolve NO or remain silent. This creates conflicting payout incentives for the same underlying game outcome.Hero Tip:
Monitor MLS official communications for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the game is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket draw YES resolution while win/loss markets resolve NO. Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation guidance and may require manual settlement review. Hedge accordingly or seek pre-event clarification from both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Austin FC win (YES if Austin wins in 90+stoppage), D.C. United win (YES if DC wins in 90+stoppage), and Draw (YES if draw in 90+stoppage). Cancellation logic differs: win/loss markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup; draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps all markets open. Source: MLS official schedule/scores.
- Kalshi: Four goal-differential markets: DC wins by >2.5 goals (YES), DC wins by >1.5 goals (YES), Austin wins by >2.5 goals (YES), Austin wins by >1.5 goals (YES). All reference 90+stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided in resolution logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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