TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:54 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between Aurora FC and CD Marquense, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense match originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between Aurora FC and CD Marquense, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense match originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in situations where there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into how different groups perceive the likelihood of various outcomes in the Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense match, as officially recorded by the governing sporting body, will determine the winning outcome. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the exact score that matches the official result. Any discrepancies will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes, ensuring a fair and accurate resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team formations for either Aurora FC or CD Marquense would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match commentary, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Sep 19, 2026 resolution.