TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between Aurora FC and CD Guastatoya, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aurora FC" if Aurora FC score more goals than CD Guastatoya in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Aurora FC and CD Guastatoya score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Guastatoya" if CD Guastatoya score more goals than Aurora FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between Aurora FC and CD Guastatoya, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aurora FC" if Aurora FC score more goals than CD Guastatoya in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Aurora FC and CD Guastatoya score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Guastatoya" if CD Guastatoya score more goals than Aurora FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced through direct trader participation—supply and demand determine the odds. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can shift rapidly as new developments emerge, whereas sportsbooks adjust more deliberately to protect margins. For this market, comparing the implied probability to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on second-half outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second half of the Aurora FC vs. CD Guastatoya match concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be confirmed based on the official final score and any relevant match records. Until that point, traders can continue buying and selling positions as the game unfolds. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing the platform to settle all positions accurately.
Several in-game events can shift this market significantly. Goals scored in the second half directly influence outcome probabilities, as do red cards, injuries to key players, or tactical substitutions that alter team dynamics. Weather conditions, crowd momentum, and referee decisions can also sway trader sentiment. Early second-half performance often triggers sharp repricing—a team scoring quickly or conceding early typically moves odds sharply. Injury updates or lineup announcements before kickoff may also cause volatility. Traders monitor these signals closely, so any unexpected development can trigger rapid price movement.