TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Augsburg and Leverkusen will score at least one goal in their Bundesliga match scheduled for September 12, 2026. The outcome depends solely on whether each team manages to find the back of the net during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Augsburg and Leverkusen both score a goal in the Augsburg vs Leverkusen Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe both teams will score, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value than available at a sportsbook. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges that isn’t yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both Augsburg and Leverkusen will score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism that aggregates diverse perspectives. The current price indicates the collective belief of traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Augsburg and Leverkusen score at least one goal during regular play (excluding extra time or penalty shootouts) in their match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is triggered. Traders will then be settled based on their positions in this market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Augsburg or Leverkusen would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis suggesting a change in attacking strategy, could all contribute to price movement. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of goals being scored by either team has the potential to move this market.