TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 6:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Fajta and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Augsburg, Germany, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Fajta' if Peter Fajta advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Peter Fajta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Fajta and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Augsburg, Germany, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Fajta' if Peter Fajta advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Peter Fajta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets focus purely on the likelihood of outcomes as assessed by participants. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially if there’s new information or shifting trader confidence. For the Augsburg Fajta vs Gulin fight, any gaps between the two could highlight where market participants diverge from conventional odds setters, offering insight into crowd-sourced expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official outcome of the fight, which will be checked against reliable news sources and official records after the contest concludes.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 30, 2026. Key fighters’ injuries, changes in training conditions, or recent performance metrics may alter perceptions of competitiveness. Media coverage highlighting either contender’s advantages or setbacks can also sway trader sentiment. Additionally, betting volume spikes following public events like press conferences or fight announcements might drive price adjustments. All these factors combined will influence how traders price the likelihood of each outcome as the event approaches.