TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 8:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Brunold and Liam Gavrielides in the Augsburg, Germany, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Liam Gavrielides. This market will resolve to 'Liam Gavrielides' if Liam Gavrielides advances against Mika Brunold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Brunold and Liam Gavrielides in the Augsburg, Germany, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Liam Gavrielides. This market will resolve to 'Liam Gavrielides' if Liam Gavrielides advances against Mika Brunold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders rather than set benchmarks. While sportsbooks may adjust prices based on broader public betting patterns and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their insights. This can lead to more nuanced pricing, especially when sharp traders identify value not yet reflected in sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through their bets, creating a dynamic market curve that adjusts with each new trade. The current top outcome reflects the consensus view of all active participants, with odds shifting based on trading volume and sentiment. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is compared against trader predictions to settle all positions. No additional interpretation is needed beyond confirming the publicly recorded result.
Key signals that could shift prices in this market include player injuries, changes to the match schedule, weather conditions affecting play, and pre-match betting trends. Any news impacting either player’s form or availability may cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their expectations. Additionally, broader betting patterns on Polymarket can amplify price swings as volume concentrates around certain outcomes.