TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 1:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Thomas Faurel in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Marvin Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Thomas Faurel in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Marvin Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their odds based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participants, which can shift rapidly with new information. Traders on Polymarket may price in different dynamics than sportsbooks, especially if recent training results, injuries, or psychological factors emerge that aren’t fully accounted for by conventional analysts.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s conclusion, reflecting either a win by one fighter, a draw, or any other officially recognized result. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, allowing participants to adjust positions based on evolving expectations.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it resolves. Key fighters’ media appearances, training updates, or injury reports often cause rapid price changes as traders reassess readiness and form. Betting trends on traditional sportsbooks, analyst commentary, and fan sentiment may also influence Polymarket’s pricing. Any last-minute changes — such as unexpected strategy reveals or psychological factors — can dramatically affect how participants value each fighter’s chances as Aug 31, 2026 approaches.