TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Cezar Cretu in Augsburg will have over or under 22.5 games, and on Polymarket the current probability that the match will go over 22.5 games is 100%, according to ATP Tour scoring data at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match was originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET, serving as the key date to watch for resolution, and the market will settle based on the official match result and game count from that event.
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Cezar Cretu in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Cezar Cretu. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Facundo Mena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds because they incorporate real-time trading dynamics and can react faster to new information. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader models and historical data, this market price is driven directly by trader activity and volume of $209,833. The difference can be notable, especially as trading volume like $209,887 shifts perceptions leading to Sep 5, 2026.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through direct buying and selling of contracts, which determines the current implied probability. The top outcome’s price reflects the collective belief of participants about who will win, influenced by new information such as player performance or weather conditions. Volume of $209,833 and recent 24-hour volume of $209,887 also shape liquidity and price stability.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and contracts settle based on that verified information. Traders should watch for any last-minute updates that could affect the final score or winner before the deadline.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves on Sep 5, 2026. Key matches featuring either player, injury updates, or changes in form may shift trader expectations. Media coverage highlighting performance metrics or psychological factors might also affect volume and pricing. As $209,887 rises in the final weeks, any last-minute announcements — such as lineup changes or weather conditions for outdoor play — could produce rapid movements in this market.