TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
$
This market tracks the outcome of the Round of 16 men's singles tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alejandro Tabilo at the 2026 French Open. On Kalshi, Auger-Aliassime winning is priced at 99.0%, while Tabilo winning stands at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official result once play begins in the match. Watch for the match completion at the 2026 French Open on or around June 1, 2026, which will determine the final resolution.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs continuously. For Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilo, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook moneylines can reveal whether the market is pricing the match more bullishly or bearishly than professional oddsmakers. These differences highlight unique market perspectives on player form, court conditions, and head-to-head dynamics.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilo match is priced through binary outcome contracts reflecting the probability traders assign to each player winning. The platform uses an order-book model where buyers and sellers set prices directly, creating transparent bid-ask spreads. As match conditions, injury reports, or player rankings shift, Kalshi prices adjust dynamically based on new trader activity. The implied probability of each outcome is derived from the contract price, allowing you to see exactly what the market believes about the matchup's likely result.
The Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilo market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official match result as recorded by the relevant tennis governing body. The outcome is binary: one player wins the match, and the corresponding contract resolves to its full value while the other expires worthless. Traders should monitor official tournament schedules and any postponements or schedule changes that might affect the resolution date or conditions.
Key catalysts for Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilo odds include recent tournament results, player injury announcements, and head-to-head performance trends. Court surface preference, weather conditions on match day, and ranking shifts can all influence trader positioning. Pre-match press conferences or coaching changes may spark repricing. Historical performance in similar conditions and player form leading into the event are closely watched. Any official schedule changes or venue adjustments will also trigger market movement as traders reassess the matchup dynamics.