TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 10:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chile Primera game between Audax CS Italiano and CF Universidad de Chile, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Audax CS Italiano" if Audax CS Italiano score more goals than CF Universidad de Chile in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Audax CS Italiano and CF Universidad de Chile score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Universidad de Chile" if CF Universidad de Chile score more goals than Audax CS Italiano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chile Primera game between Audax CS Italiano and CF Universidad de Chile, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Audax CS Italiano" if Audax CS Italiano score more goals than CF Universidad de Chile in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Audax CS Italiano and CF Universidad de Chile score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Universidad de Chile" if CF Universidad de Chile score more goals than Audax CS Italiano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. This market may price the outcome differently than major sportsbooks, depending on information flow, trader conviction, and the size of the betting pool. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmakers' views, though both aim to reflect true match probabilities.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. As traders purchase shares representing each outcome, the price adjusts automatically to reflect the current probability implied by the order flow. The more capital committed to one outcome, the higher its price climbs. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting the second-half result before the market reprices. Polymarket's transparent, continuous pricing mechanism allows participants to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second 45 minutes of regulation play. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, though standard completion ensures a clear, unambiguous result.
Several catalysts can shift trader positioning before the match begins. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Betting syndicates or sharp traders entering large positions can move odds significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, or late-breaking roster updates may also influence expectations about second-half performance. Once the match starts, live action during the first half becomes crucial; early goals, red cards, or momentum shifts frequently prompt traders to reassess their second-half forecasts and adjust their holdings accordingly.