TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:40 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Audax CS Italiano and CD La Serena, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Audax CS Italiano" if Audax CS Italiano are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD La Serena" if CD La Serena are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Audax CS Italiano and CD La Serena, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Audax CS Italiano" if Audax CS Italiano are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD La Serena" if CD La Serena are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may adjust odds less frequently and incorporate different risk models. Comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks reveals whether the crowd is pricing Audax CS Italiano or CD La Serena as more likely to score first differently than professional bookmakers. These gaps can highlight value opportunities, though sportsbook odds typically remain more stable throughout the betting window.
On Polymarket, the first-team-to-score market is priced as a binary outcome: CD La Serena to score first or Audax CS Italiano to score first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the current price reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. The top outcome currently reflects trader conviction, and prices move dynamically as new information emerges—such as team news, lineup changes, or pre-match analysis. Share prices range from 0 to 1 cent, where 1 cent equals a 1 percent implied probability.
The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, after the match concludes. Resolution is determined by which team scores the first goal during regulation time. Once the opening goal is recorded, the corresponding outcome is confirmed and the market settles. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution process is automated based on official match data, ensuring accuracy and eliminating ambiguity about which team achieved the first score.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to key forwards or defenders, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and head-to-head historical data. Pre-match analysis from sports media and expert predictions can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions and venue factors may influence attacking play. Social media momentum and large trades on Polymarket can trigger cascading price moves. Closer to kickoff, final team sheets and any last-minute tactical adjustments will likely drive final positioning as traders lock in their views on which team enters the match with stronger offensive intent.