TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Ecuadorian professional soccer match between Aucas and Macara, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time. Different thresholds define whether the event is considered successful for each possible winner.
The event evaluates the goal-differential margin by which either Aucas or Macara wins the professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match scheduled for July 26, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific goal-margin threshold: Aucas winning by more than 2.5 goals, Aucas winning by more than 1.5 goals, Macara winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Macara winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The event explicitly states that the platform operating the markets—Kalshi—is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and historical data, traders on Kalshi price in real-time sentiment and new information. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on recent performance, injuries, or weather conditions.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by the official match statistics and confirmed by the platform once the game concludes.