TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Puebla
Volume:
$93,276
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX soccer match between Atlético San Luis and Club Puebla scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) on Polymarket and total goals scored on Kalshi, all resolving based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ on cancellation outcomes and provide asymmetric resolution rules. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while win/loss resolve No; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause for total goals markets.Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga MX official channels for postponement or cancellation notices. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw traders win while win/loss traders lose—creating a structural imbalance. Kalshi total goals markets will likely remain open pending rescheduling. Hedge accordingly by understanding which platform's cancellation rule applies to your position.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary markets (San Luis Win, Draw, Puebla Win) all reference 90 minutes + stoppage time. Win and Loss markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled. Postponed games remain open until completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win/loss) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw).
- Kalshi: Four over/under total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) reference 90 minutes + stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)' with no mention of game cancellation outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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