TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Atlético San Luis and CF Cruz Azul, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlético San Luis" if Atlético San Luis are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Cruz Azul" if CF Cruz Azul are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Atlético San Luis and CF Cruz Azul, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlético San Luis" if Atlético San Luis are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Cruz Azul" if CF Cruz Azul are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Analysts and sharp bettors frequently compare the two to identify mispricings. If this market's odds differ materially from major sportsbook lines on the same event, it may signal where informed traders see value or where public perception lags behind expert assessment.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where each outcome's price reflects the cumulative buy and sell orders at any given moment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each team scoring first fluctuates continuously as new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—allowing traders to profit from accurate predictions. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices adjust, so markets with higher activity typically reflect consensus more efficiently than thinly traded alternatives.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team legitimately scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. No goals, own goals, or penalty kicks that do not count toward the official score are excluded from consideration. Resolution occurs shortly after the match ends and the result is finalized by official sources.
Key catalysts include team lineups, injury announcements, and recent form heading into the match. If a star forward is ruled out or a goalkeeper is unavailable, odds may shift sharply toward the opposing team. Tactical changes, managerial decisions, or unexpected roster updates can also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue factors occasionally matter for first-goal markets, since weather can affect play style and defensive stability. As match day nears, late-breaking news tends to drive the most volatile price swings in this market.