TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether CD Guadalajara will win their Liga MX soccer match against Atlético San Luis on September 5, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of CD Guadalajara winning is 99.5%, based on data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the Liga MX governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting consensus. With the betting period concluding around the match start, keep a close watch on the official team lineups announced on September 5, 2026, for any last-minute changes that could influence the outcome.
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Atlético San Luis and CD Guadalajara.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the San Luis vs Guadalajara professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for San Luis occurs only if San Luis wins within regular time; similarly, a 'Yes' for Guadalajara requires Guadalajara's victory within the same timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per platform guidelines. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect any market outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a distinct user base and liquidity profile compared to Kalshi. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to variations in implied probabilities, as each venue’s community may weigh recent team form, injury reports, or other tactical factors differently, producing unique odds surfaces for bettors and traders.